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1022264 Posts in 68552 Topics- by 17327 Members - Latest Member: spkyle
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1  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Brokered Convention on: Today at 09:53 AM
But, some will either hold their nose and vote for Hillary, or they will stay home. Either works. No way Trump makes enough inroads into independents and Democrats to override his negatives. Barring an indictment, HIllary is a HEAVY favorite to win this election.
2  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Brokered Convention on: Today at 08:57 AM
And the attacks begin: http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2016/05/hillary-clinton-wont-let-republicans-forget-never-trump

To which I have to wonder... people didn't listen to them the first time. Why would they a second?

Remember, you are talking about +/-50% of GOP primary voters, who make up +/-20% of the GOP electorate, who make up +/-30% of the general electorate. So, you're saying that +/-3-4% of the people didn't listen the first time. THe folks who elected Trump are NOT a representative sample of the electorate at large.
3  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Brokered Convention on: Yesterday at 04:28 PM
That's the same failing tactic the nevertrump movement took. This isn't about logic and reason.... politics have warped and abused that too much. Trump's campaign is about visceral emotion and gut impulses. Trump has already been attacked with dirt, and none seems to stick. Meanwhile.... Clinton has never faced overly simplistic, gut-level insults about complex policies and stances like this. That is quite a hard line to walk to give them an answer and not get lost in trying to explain the complexity.

Well, it wasn't about logic and reason in the GOP primaries. DUH!! in the real America, logic and reason DO still count for something, even if it is not a prevalent as one might prefer. It will not be difficult, with even moderately successful oppo research, to maintain, and even build on, Drumpf's 67% negatives. THere are just too many demographics he has viscerally offended to overcome. THe fact both candidates have such high negatives MAY depress voter turnout, which will be beneficial to down ballot Republicans, but not enough to keep Hillary from winning.

4  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Brokered Convention on: Yesterday at 11:55 AM
I heard one Dem operative say today that the Clinton campaign hasn't even really started digging into the opposition research on Trump. THere is no Oppo left to be done on Hillary. She is the single most vetted candidate in the history of politics going back to the stone age. THis will be an enormously one sided fight in that area.
5  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Brokered Convention on: Yesterday at 05:30 AM
So, it's gonna be Madam President. I wish I could be happy about it.
6  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Wake Up, America: Take 3 on: Apr 29, 2016, 02:04PM
Gee Russ you're making me feel old. Old enough to remember "advisors" going to Viet Nam.
Both situations with a civil war involving local factions, vestiges of post colonial structures and extra-national interventions.
It's nice to ask the Saudis for help and that ISIL's numbers are falling but the mess* at the core of the problem is not going away soon.
  • arbitrary States set up after WW1 to prevent strong States from forming a replacement of the Ottoman empire
    Control of oil resources by Western corporations
    The arbitrary establishment of a Jewish state and not the also promised Arab/Palestinian state.
This mess is in a great part, of our making but the aggieved parties won't accept an outside solution. They need to make their own.
Our best policy would be a national policy of petroleum independence and the avoidance of foreign entanglements.

Couldn't say it better myself.


DRB
Seola Creek
7  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Wake Up, America: Take 3 on: Apr 29, 2016, 06:37AM
Next up.......

Troops to Syria

In Germany last week, President Obama announced the deployment of an additional 250 US Special Forces troops into the effort to roll back ISIS in Syria. This was coupled with another 200 troops added to the forces battling ISIS in Iraq.

 

I would like to believe this is in relation to negotiations he engaged in while in Saudi Arabia prior to his arrival in Germany, and that it is a precursor to  stepped up participation by Arab states. After all, in the end, they are the ones who MUST solve the issues in their regions.

 

The battle against ISIS IS being waged successfully. 40% of territory once controlled by ISIS in Iraq has been retaken, and the flow of foreign fighters into the ranks of the terrorist organization has been slowed from a flood to a trickle.

 

In Syria, forces loyal to the Assad regime, with Russian assistance, and Kurdish rebels aided by the US are on the verge of retaking the ISIS “capitol” in Raqqa. It is estimated that coalition airstrikes have decimated ISIS forces, killing more than 25,000 of the organizations combatants.

 

Success is also being experienced in the efforts to undermine the finances of the terrorist organization. Coalition efforts have disrupted ISIS oil production and cut off its access to financial institutions and cash reserves. One single airstrike struck an ISIS cash reserve vault, destroying millions of dollars of the groups ready cash.

 

Reports are that cuts to salaries and bonuses for their fighters are sowing discord and causing morale difficulties for the organization. There is infighting beginning amongst the leadership, a sign the efforts of the coalition are achieving successes.

 

All that said, not everything is rosy in the ongoing efforts. It is unlikely coalition backed Iraqi forces will be able to retake Mosul this year, and Fallujah, site of some of the heaviest fighting of the Iraq war, remains under ISIS control. Russian backed Regime forces are making great headway against rebel forces in areas of Syria not controlled by ISIS, strengthening the position of Bashar  Assad.

 

So, slow, but sure, progress is being made in the process of cleaning up the mess the ill-advised invasion of Iraq created. Despite the bombast spouting from the campaign of one Presidential candidate, American efforts there are not, “reckless, rudderless, and aimless”. Victory will not be achieved “very, very quickly”, as much as we might wish it so.
8  Teaching & Learning / Schools, Colleges and Conservatories / Adult Summer Jazz Camps on: Apr 28, 2016, 04:34AM
I'm thinking of attending one of these camps this summer. Has anybody participated in one of these? Any feedback on which ones might be a better fit for a weekend warrior?
9  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Bernie Sanders on: Apr 27, 2016, 05:39AM
How can he carry down ballot races if he can't win the primary?

Numbers, man.
Andy

And, there you have it. THat would be my BIG IF.
10  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Bernie Sanders on: Apr 26, 2016, 12:31PM
If you think they'll stonewall Hillary, just imagine how they'll stonewall Bernie.  Remember, he's not even a full-fledged Democrat so they won't come to his aid.

IF, and it's an enormous IF, Bernie were elected, it would mean that his "revolution" was taking hold, and the odds are he carried a significant number of down-ballot offices along with him. That kind of momentum would be hard to dismiss once he started pushing from his "bully-pulpit". And, the folks that elected him would not be likely to stay home in the next mid-terms if he shows he is being obstructed.
11  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Bernie Sanders on: Apr 26, 2016, 10:58AM
I'm with Robert Reich. Hillary is the best candidate for the government we have. Bernie is the best candidate for the government we need.
12  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Wake Up, America: Take 3 on: Apr 22, 2016, 05:56AM
This week's effort

Budget Fail

April 15th is not just tax day. It is also the day  Congress is required to have passed a budget for the President’s signature.

 

We are 5/8 of the way through the 112th Congress, and it is well on its way to surpass it’s two GOP led predecessors as the least productive in the history of the institution. Notable about this is the fact the GOP has control of both Houses of Congress. Leaders in both Houses promised us we would see what GOP governance looked like. WOW, it is a truly ugly sight.

 

Speaker Paul Ryan noted, when drafted into the Speaker’s chair, “let’s be frank: The House is broken. We are not solving problems. We are adding to them.”, and promised to “return to regular order”. A significant marker that had occurred would have been seeing the House pass a budget by the deadline. Of course, the infighting amongst Republicans kept that from happening.

 

All things considered, that is probably a good thing for the American people and our economy. Ryan, and the quasi-sane portion of his caucus, are pushing to enact the appropriations called for in the bi-partisan budget deal signed last fall by Speaker Boehner and President Obama. The lunatic, TEA Party fringe of  the GOP is pushing to reinstate the disastrous sequestration programs of earlier agreements.

 

Minority Leader, Nancy Pelosi, sums it up thusly; “"The Ryan budget that has been proposed is the most devastating road-to-ruin budget in history. And even that wasn't brutal enough for the radical forces that have taken control and dominate the House Republican caucus."

 

GOP budgets are, and always have been, a road map to disaster for the majority of the people they are supposed to serve and the government services they are obligated to provide. One need look no further than the heartland for evidentiary proof of this truism.

 

In 2010, Sam Brownback left the Senate and ran for the Governorship of Kansas. The wave that elected him also ushered in total GOP control of the Kansas legislature. They immediately passed the GOP “dream” agenda of across the board tax cuts with pie-in-the-sky promises of unlimited growth and prosperity.

 

The result has been an absolutely predictable disaster; a $400M hole in the Kansas budget and anemic economic and job growth. Republicans in Kansas are now throwing each other under the bus to deflect the blame.

 

We NEED Bernie’s revolution!
13  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Brokered Convention on: Apr 20, 2016, 02:50PM

. the GOP gov is scrambling with an explosive backfire response they never dreamed of,


Kinda like W in Iraq, or Brownback in Kansas, ot the ***** Gov. of Al. whose name I can't remember right now. or, etc., etc., etc., et al. Republicans do not appear to think at any level not superficial.
14  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Bernie Sanders on: Apr 20, 2016, 05:23AM
I suspect the image the use of the"1%" is supposed to evoke in the mind is really a much smaller number (.01%?) and that there is pretty clear mark of delineation between those who fit into it and those who don't. I would wager a graph of income and wealth would have a pretty gentle, though climbing, slope right up to that delineation point, where it would go straight up. It is those folks who own the legislative process in this country, especially on the national level, and for whom the benefits are intended.
15  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Wake Up, America: Take 3 on: Apr 19, 2016, 12:07PM
As tangents go, that was both interesting and amusing though. Kind of how I meant the original statement.
16  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Wake Up, America: Take 3 on: Apr 18, 2016, 06:02PM
He's not giving it any weight because you're not supporting it. Actual 'flawed logic' is pretty easy to identify and define. When people make that claim and then scamper when asked to support it, it's pretty plain that they're blowing smoke.

And, if I'm not mistaken, smoke has negative weight.
17  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Wake Up, America: Take 3 on: Apr 16, 2016, 11:45AM

Gotta put that on my library hold list!
18  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Wake Up, America: Take 3 on: Apr 15, 2016, 02:28PM
Rather than having to "figure out" your position, can you explain it a bit and state what you think it flawed?

That would be nice, and is necessary to engage in relevent discussion.
19  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Wake Up, America: Take 3 on: Apr 15, 2016, 09:46AM
????

You said it. He's asking you what you think the flaw in the logic is. If you can't say, then your response has no weight.
20  Practice Break / Purely Politics / Re: Wake Up, America: Take 3 on: Apr 15, 2016, 05:48AM
This week's effort......

Me, Me, Mine....

The reality of our political system and elections is it’s the method by which we, as a society, set our priorities. The party that controls the Congress and the Presidency has control to set those agendas.

Possibly the greatest responsibility of our government is putting in place the regulations and controls that govern how our economy will run and ensuring the GDP is maximized and allocated in the manner that best serves the needs of our society. Our two party system tends to turn that process into a confrontational, winner-take-all melee, often to the detriment of the society as a whole.

At its essence, we have one party that prioritizes the good and the needs of the individual ahead of the needs of the society as a whole, and another that recognizes we are all in this together and prioritizes the needs of the society, “We, the People”, over those of any single individual.

In my mind, it is a matter of maturity of thought, although I realize that is a massive over-simplification. The word “mine” is one of the first words every toddler grasps onto with a degree of understanding. The process of learning ownership isn’t inherent to possession and to share is one of the primary lessons one must learn in the process of socialization and capacity to function in society.

That “me, me, mine” outlook of the toddler is reflected in the attitude that taxation is somehow theft, and the individual has no obligation to support the society as a whole. The more mature outlook is the “we, we, ours” that promotes a society that recognizes there must be a balance between the needs of the individual and the society writ large.

We are the richest country in the history of the world. This election is about who we are. Are we a nation that provides infrastructure, renewable energy, a clean environment, that feeds and educates the poor, and provides healthcare to everyone, or are we a country that continues to allow a very few to siphon our wealth into Panama or Bermuda?

For 50 years one side has held sway and have cut taxes on the “me, me, mine” group at the top of the food chain, while at the same time cutting all of the safety net programs implemented by the “we, we, ours” side through the middle of the last century.
It’s that simple.
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